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Recession-Recovery Watch

Below are data and charts for the U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI), Future Inflation Gauge (FIG) and Leading Home Price Index (LHPI). Interpretation and additional index coverage for the U.S. and international economies are available through our solutions for Professionals.

U.S. Index Latest Prior Year
Ago
Data Release Time
Web Pro
WLI 129.8
(2/26)
 128.4  105.4 USWLIW data file 3/5
10:30
3/5
09:00
WLI, Gr. 13.7%
(2/26)
14.9% -24.0% USWLIW data file 3/5
10:30
3/5
09:00
USCI 144.8
(January)
 144.2  146.4 USCI data file 2/22
10:30
2/22
10:00
USCI, Gr. 1.2%
(January)
-0.2% -7.7% USCI data file 2/22
10:30
2/22
10:00
USLgI 145.6
(January)
 145.9  164.0 USLgI data file 2/22
10:30
2/18
10:00
USLgI, Gr. -7.6%
(January)
-9.0% 0.3% USLgI data file 2/22
10:30
2/18
10:00
FIG 101.4
(February)
 102.1  80.4 * 3/5
09:40
3/5
09:00
LHPI** 117.7
(November)
 117.0  112.1 * 12/17
10:30
12/17
10:00

*Data available exclusively to Pro Members.
**Updated on this page once a quarter and available monthly to Pro Members.

Weekly Indexes Chart
U.S. Coincident Growth Rate Chart

Shaded areas represent growth rate cycle downturns. Horizontal dashes near the bottom mark off U.S. business cycle recessions.

Leading Home Price Index Chart

Shaded areas represent cyclical downturns in real home prices.

12/08: (ECRI’s) forecast of the recession helped us anticipate reduced merchandise sales; we proactively revised our inventory forecasts down months ago, and that has helped to greatly minimize the inventory swell and need for markdowns.

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