Focus Reports From ECRI

Focus Reports are selected reproductions of the "Focus" sections of our reports to Professional A and B subscribers. These in-depth reports are where we bring our cyclical research skills to bear on topical issues.

United States Focus Reports

August 2003 Focus Report Cover Image

Stock Prices and Economic Cycles

August 2003

It is difficult for economic indicators to predict stock price fluctuations in the very short term or years in advance, but long leading indicators can provide useful insights in the cyclical time frame in between.

$2000.00

May 2003 Focus Report Cover Image

Just How Jobless is the Recovery?

May 2003

The duration of joblessness is near postwar highs, and both current conditions and prospects for employment look dim, especially in manufacturing.

$2000.00

February 2003 Focus Report Cover Image

The Impact of Wars on the Business Cycle

February 2003

Historically, wars that started during expansions did not trigger recessions, but the Gulf War, which began during a recession, was quickly followed by a recovery.

$2000.00

December 2002 Focus Report Cover Image

The Fed and the Fig

December 2002

The Future Inflation Gauge has a long run relationship with the Federal Funds rate and inflation, which has important implications for the future course of inflation.

$2000.00

August 2000 Focus Report Cover Image

Can U.S. Growth Continue as Oil Price Spikes Up?

August 2000

Never in this expansion have the leading indicators been so close to forecasting a recession.

$2000.00

International Focus Reports

September 2005 Focus Report Cover Image

German Economic Recovery to Stengthen

September 2005

The German economy, including the industrial sector, is set for a cyclical revival in growth. Job growth is likely to follow. However, inflation pressures are already building.

$2000.00

February 2005 Focus Report Cover Image

Another Japanese Recession?

February 2005

Japan is neither in a business cycle recession, nor about to enter one.

$2000.00

January 2005 Focus Report Cover Image

Predicting Chinese Cycles Using Non-Chinese Data

January 2005

An eclectic leading index suggests that industrial growth in China will moderate further in the near term.

$2000.00