Solutions For Individuals

Cycle Analysis & Forecasting for Individuals

Individuals can access some historical index data through a subscription to our ECRI Light service. This service includes limited analysis.

ECRI LightECRI Free
$19.99/month or $199.99/yearFuture Inflation Gauge³
Recession Recovery WatchWeekly Leading Index (Monthly)³
Future Inflation Gauge²Weekly Leading Index³
Leading Home Price Index²Coincident Index¹
Weekly Leading Index (Monthly)²Lagging Index¹
Weekly Leading Index¹Select ECRI Research Papers
Coincident Index¹Cycle Chronologies for 20 countries
Lagging Index¹
Full access to ECRI News¹ Full Historical Data
Select ECRI Research papers² Last two years' data
Cycle Chronologies for 20 countries³ Most recent data point

Sample Reports

Individuals who want more information but aren't ready to subscribe to ECRI Light may register for Free access to select cycle chronologies, research papers and historical data for the Coincident Index and Lagging Index.


How we help Individuals

The Challenge

Most forecasters have a dismal record of predicting the timing of cyclical turns in economic growth and inflation. This is because most people and forecasting models expect recent patterns to persist in the near future—a sure recipe for being surprised by the next turn.

Economic Cycle Forecast Image

The Solution

Our expertise lies in timing when the consensus will be wrong. Knowing this will help you avoid being blindsided by “surprise” turns in economic growth, inflation and home prices.

For example, a small business may wish to know, before expanding capacity, whether a recession is about to hit. The same information would be valuable to an individual in deciding whether to accept a job offer in a cyclical industry or go to graduate school instead. Insights into the economic growth outlook, as well as upcoming turns in inflation, can be useful in thinking about the direction of interest rates. Individuals who are in the process of deciding when to buy or sell a home may also wish to know whether a turn in home prices is imminent.

Economic and financial pundits have a multitude of views that are difficult if not impossible to reconcile. ECRI’s approach objectively adds up the divergent pulls on the economy to provide a clear indication of its near-term direction.